[COMMENTS on 07-4-2020]

An interesting finding, on 7/4/2020, indicates that even though the confirmed cases in the USA surpass other European countries such as France, Spain and Italy, by about 230.000 cases, the corresponding number of fatalities of the particular country from COVID-19, is significantly low. More specifically, US death toll is almost at the same level with France and considerably lower from the death toll of Spain, by almost 30%, and Italy by 50%, which leads to the fact that US may have been more prepared for the COVID-19 pandemic. Recent statistics and facts on USA indicate that confirmed coronavirus cases increased reaching the 28% of confirmed cases worldwide, however the death rate of the country (confirmed deaths/cases) are considerably low reaching the level of 3% over the global average (~5.6%). What is furthermore interesting is the substantial variation in mortality rates (confirmed deaths/cases) from country to country with Italy in the epicenter (12,5%); then we have France (12%), United Kingdom (10.3%), Spain (9.7%), Greece (4.5%), China (4%), Switzerland (2.7%), USA (3%) and Germany that ranges to the lowest level (1.6%). It is now more obvious that due to the fact that the government of Greece took precautionary emergency measures to limit the spread of coronavirus, the country is still below global average of ~5.6% in terms of confirmed infections and fatalities. Furthermore, compared to other countries, the numbers of deaths per day (per 1.000.000 population) are impressively low indicating a positive result with the flattening of the relevant curve.

[COMMENTS on 31-3-2020]

1. Like in China, Italy now appears to stabilized its COVID-19 outbreak, at the limit of 85-90 K.
2. USA’s new coronavirus cases have risen sharply in the last 15 days. More specifically, according to our statistics, the USA share in confirmed cases worldwide has increased from 1% (12.3.2020) to 18% (28.3.2020). On the contrary, during the same period, China’s share has declined by 56%, reaching the lowest percentage point of 14% (28.3.2010).
3. China and Italy have the highest share of confirmed cases worldwide reaching the level of 14%
4. Italy (10.6%) overtakes Spain (7,6%), France (6.1%), UK (5,2), Greece (2,9%), USA & Switzerland (1,6%) in COVID-19 reported death rate , where Germany’s case fatality is only at 0,7%.
5. Greece is still below global averages in terms of confirmed deaths. Due to the fact that the government took precautionary emergency measures to limit the spread of coronavirus, the death rate is increasing very slowly (almost stabilized) ranging from 2,5% to 2.9% over the last week.

[COMMENTS on 28-3-2020]

1. The outbreak of the disease in China, has been significantly affecting the rest of the world.
2. For almost one month the number of reported cases in China increased very rapidly and reached a maximum level of the order of 80-82 K, a level that seems to have been stabilized since then.
3. When the disease appeared in the world, the contribution of China to the global number of reported cases was approximately 99-100% and remained as high as of 90% until the beginning of March 2020.
4. Given the outbreak in Europe, USA, and other countries in the world, the situation is changing rapidly, and as depicted in the relevant figure, Europe is now responsible for almost the 40-45% of the reported cases, and USA for the 10%.
5. In the case of Italy, if we observe the trajectory of the curve in the figure depicting the Cases per Country we can obviously see the similarity to China’s curve, with only one-month deviation (behind).
6. Unlike other European countries, the case of Greece varies positively and seems to be promising.
   It is likely that the early mitigation measures taken by the government have resulted in a decreased pace of reporting incidents. However, this is a very early result and remains to be assessed further in the next/coming weeks.